17.02.2026, 11:37

Kazhydromet warns of risks to winter crops due to temperature fluctuations

Temperature swings create additional stress for underdeveloped plants

In the first ten days of February, agrometeorological conditions in southern and southeastern Kazakhstan were generally satisfactory for the overwintering of winter crops. However, forecasters point to potential risks: frequent thaws in the south lasting up to four days, combined with alternating positive daytime and negative nighttime temperatures, may adversely affect poorly developed plants. This was reported in Kazhydromet’s ten-day review.

According to the assessment of winter wheat viability as of January 20, the share of dead plants reached 4–18% in the Almaty region, 3–20% in the Zhambyl region, and 4–12% in the West Kazakhstan region.

The review states that in the first decade of February, air temperatures in the south and southeast of the republic exceeded the climatic norm by 4…7°C. In areas cultivating winter wheat, precipitation was mostly close to normal, while in the Zhetysu region it exceeded average levels. In the Turkestan region, emergence of winter wheat and barley was observed in certain areas, particularly near the Kazyghurt and Shymkent meteorological stations. The third leaf stage of winter wheat was recorded in the Almaty region (Akkainar) and the Turkestan region (Shymkent).

In the Almaty region, minimum air temperatures in winter wheat cultivation zones dropped to minus 7…10°C, while the temperature at the tillering node reached minus 2°C. Precipitation totaled 6–8 mm, which corresponds to 80–114% of the norm. Snow cover height ranged from 2 to 12 cm, and soil freezing depth was 29–40 cm.

In the Zhetysu region, minimum air temperatures in areas cultivating winter crops reached minus 13…17°C. Precipitation exceeded the norm at 11–20 mm (182–200%). Snow cover height ranged from 3 to 26 cm, and soil freezing depth was 22–53 cm.

In the Zhambyl region, minimum air temperatures in winter wheat fields ranged from minus 3…10°C, while soil temperature at the tillering depth was 0°C. Precipitation was mostly at or above normal, totaling 6–29 mm (82–169%).

In the Turkestan region, minimum air temperatures in winter grain cultivation areas reached minus 1…7°C, with minus 1°C at the tillering node depth. Precipitation amounted to 19–41 mm, which corresponds to 86–158% of long-term averages.

In the Zhambyl and Turkestan regions, due to rising air temperatures, there was no snow cover and no soil freezing.

Read also

Kazakhstan is losing its position in the flour market Experts warn: without investment in processing, the country may lose its regional leadership Geopolitical tensions may affect Kazakhstan’s exports to the Middle East Rising transport, insurance and banking costs may impact grain and oil exports The volume of chemical treatments against locusts in Kazakhstan will decrease this year The Ministry of Agriculture discussed equipment readiness, pest monitoring and the organization of protective measures Oilseed planting areas to expand on the fields of Kazakhstan’s National Agrarian Scientific and Educational Center The structure of crop areas has been adjusted taking into account agro-climatic conditions and scientifically based crop rotation International agricultural exhibition AgriTek/FarmTek Astana 2026 opens in Astana Major industry event brings together farmers, producers and experts of the agricultural sector Global oil and agricultural commodity prices surge amid escalating tensions in the Middle East Rising geopolitical tensions triggered a sharp increase in oil prices and major agricultural commodities Global food prices rose in February after five months of decline The food market responds to changes in demand and weather conditions in key regions China’s barley imports to increase slightly in the 2025/26 marketing year Australia, Canada and Eurasian countries remain the main suppliers