Kazakhstan's Agrarian Market Review: Sales Strategies Amid Price Stability

The current situation in Kazakhstan's grain and oilseed market is characterized mainly by stable price dynamics. According to the latest report from the "Grain and Oilseeds" Research Bureau, no sharp fluctuations are observed for most items, allowing farmers to adhere to planned sales strategies. Nevertheless, bureau analysts highlight several key crops for which special trading approaches are recommended.

The Grain Segment: A Focus on Quality
A wait-and-see position dominates the grain market. The clearest recommendation is for high-quality 3rd-class wheat (gluten 28% and higher). At the current average price of 122 KZT/kg, experts recommend halting sales. This advice is based on a forecast of significant price growth potential, with the upper limit this season estimated at 145 KZT/kg.
For the remaining soft wheat line (classes 3-5), as well as for 2nd-class barley and durum, the recommended strategy is to sell products as financial or technical needs arise, without rushing. Prices for these items are stable, although minor corrections have been recorded: 3rd-class wheat (up to 25% gluten) and 2nd-class barley showed a decrease of 2 KZT/kg.

Oilseeds and Pulses: A Differentiated Approach
A more diversified picture is observed in the oilseed and pulse crop sector. Safflower was the only crop to show growth during the week, adding 2 KZT/kg to its value (current price — 176 KZT/kg).
Key strategic recommendations from analysts focus on several positions:
• Halt Sales: This recommendation has been issued for sunflower (current price 200 KZT/kg), red lentils (150 KZT/kg), and green lentils (220 KZT/kg). Analysts see significant price growth potential for these crops. Green lentils are particularly highlighted, with a possible season maximum forecasted at 450 KZT/kg, more than double the current price.
• Recommendation to Sell: In contrast, yellow peas (premium quality, northern regions) received the only recommendation in the review for active sales. At the current price of 100 KZT/kg, analysts do not foresee favorable prospects in the near future.
• Planned Sales: For other crops, including flax, rapeseed, soy, and mustard, the recommendation for sales based on necessity remains. This indicates a balanced market and a lack of factors for urgent sales or holding inventory.

Thus, the current market requires a balanced approach from producers: while planned sales are appropriate for most grains and some oilseeds, holding high-quality wheat, sunflower, and lentils may bring additional benefits in the medium term.