Russia Shifts Export Strategy Toward Value-Added Products

Russia’s agro-industrial complex has embarked on a large-scale transformation of its export model, planning to reduce the share of raw grain in the structure of foreign supplies to 25% by 2030.

According to Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut, the ministry’s strategy does not imply a reduction in production volumes but rather a reorientation toward goods with higher added value. The shift is already evident in current dynamics: while grain accounted for nearly 37% of export value in 2024, the segment of high-margin products increased by 8% in 2025, reaching $19 billion.

At the same time, production targets remain ambitious. By the end of the decade, Russia’s gross grain harvest is expected to reach 170 million tonnes, while grain exports are projected at 55 million tonnes in 2026 alone—5 million tonnes more than last year.

Thus, the decline in the relative share of grain is driven by faster growth in overall export revenues. According to target benchmarks, total agricultural export earnings are expected to rise to $55.2 billion by 2030, supported by the expansion of domestic processing capacities and increased sales of finished food products.