26.08.2024, 15:30

🌾 Kazakhstan's hi-pro wheat: Potential export to Russia  

 🔹 Russia, facing adverse weather conditions, may start importing high-protein wheat from Kazakhstan.

 🔹 Kazakhstan's hi-pro wheat could become an essential export commodity for Russia's border regions, where a shortage of quality grain is expected.

 🔹 Increased demand for Kazakh wheat will likely lead to higher prices and a growing disparity between the cost of quality wheat and fodder grain.

 

Kazakhstan has traditionally imported wheat from Russia, where high yields ensured low prices. However, this season, the situation might change: Kazakhstan is preparing to export wheat to Russia, which is dealing with adverse weather conditions.

 

Spring floods and frosts, along with summer rains in the Ural and Siberian regions, have led to losses of arable land and the threat of poor-quality grain. In Bashkortostan, farmers have been unable to harvest since late July due to continuous rains, putting the crops of both winter and spring wheat at risk.

 

As a result, the elevators may be filled predominantly with 4th class grain, which requires mixing with high-protein wheat for flour production. Kazakhstan, traditionally growing hi-pro wheat under conditions of low moisture and high temperatures, becomes a potential supplier of this raw material.

 

However, the conditions in Kazakhstan are far from ideal: upcoming rains and low temperatures may reduce the quality of the grain. This creates a risk of a deficit in high-quality wheat, which is already in demand by Central Asian countries, China, and now Russia's border regions.

 

The increased demand for Kazakhstan's hi-pro wheat will inevitably lead to higher prices and a widening gap between the cost of quality wheat and fodder, similar to what was observed last year.

 

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