Kazakhstan’s Non-Resource Exports to Reach $52 Billion by 2030

The Ministry of Trade and Integration of Kazakhstan has presented a new concept that could radically change the country’s economic strategy. The authorities plan to focus on exporting finished products rather than raw materials. By 2030, the government intends to significantly reduce the export of raw commodities while introducing tariffs and other restrictions.
This initiative, enshrined in the Trade Policy Concept of the Republic of Kazakhstan until 2030, is aimed at supporting domestic producers and enhancing the competitiveness of Kazakhstani products in the global market. According to the document, the government will use fiscal instruments, export duties, and domestic sales obligations to stimulate raw material processing within the country. These measures will be implemented at the level of the Interdepartmental Commission on Foreign Trade Policy.
In addition, the new policy provides for protecting the domestic market from shortages and sharp price fluctuations. In the event of a critical lack of certain goods, their export may be temporarily restricted. To combat unfair imports (for example, in cases of price undercutting or unjustified increases in supplies), the Ministry of Trade also plans to apply restrictions. To protect consumers from unsafe products, the authorities intend to develop laboratory facilities for quality control.
The document emphasizes that a flexible customs and tariff policy should protect the interests of both domestic producers and consumers, while promoting structural changes in the economy.
The figures speak for themselves
The authorities have set ambitious goals for non-resource export volumes:
• 2025: $41 billion
• 2026: $42.3 billion
• 2027: $43.8 billion
• 2028: $46.6 billion
• 2029: $49.4 billion
• 2030: $52 billion
The concept does not specify which exact goods will account for this growth, leaving room for further clarification. Implementation of these measures will involve several ministries, including the Ministry of Trade, the Ministry of Agriculture, the Ministry of Industry, the Ministry of Economy, and others. Their joint efforts will determine how successfully Kazakhstan can move from a resource-based model to an economy with high added value. This shift could become an important step toward strengthening the country’s economic independence.